Employment Cost Index

The Employment Cost Index (ECI), released by US Bureau of Labour Statistics, is a quarterly measure of the change in the price of labor, defined as compensation per employee hour worked. Closely watched by many economists, the ECI is an indicator of cost pressures within companies that could lead to price inflation for finished goods and services. The index measures changes in the cost of compensation not only for wages and salaries, but also for an extensive list of benefits.

Most recent - Tuesday 30 April 2024 12:30

Previous
0.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
1%
Actual
1.2%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Employment Cost Index was 1.2% against a forecast of 1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 30 April 2024 12:30
1%
1.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 13:30
1%
0.9%
Tuesday 31 October 2023 12:30
1%
1.1%
Friday 28 July 2023 12:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 April 2023 12:30
1.1%
1.2%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 13:30
1.1%
1%
Friday 28 October 2022 12:30
1.2%
1.2%
Friday 29 July 2022 12:30
1.2%
1.3%
Friday 29 April 2022 12:30
1.1%
1.4%
Friday 28 January 2022 13:30
1.2%
1%
Friday 29 October 2021 12:30
0.9%
1.3%
Friday 30 July 2021 12:30
0.9%
0.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Employment Cost Index result:

PreviousLatest
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.1%0%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.467M1.44M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.287M1.36M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change232K222K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change15.54.5
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.5%3.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.8%3.6%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change-14.3-15.6
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change1%-0.3%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.9%0.2%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.5%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.8%2.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.1%2.4%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.5%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-236B$210B
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change77.267.4
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change209K231K
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change48.545.9
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change54.452.2
ISM Services PMIBearish change51.449.4
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change53.459.2
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change50.951.3
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4.1%3.9%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.7%62.7%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change315K175K
U6 Underemployment RateBearish change7.3%7.4%
Unemployment RateBearish change3.8%3.9%

About Employment Cost Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly

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