Chicago Fed National Activity Index

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI), released by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Most recent - Monday 25 November 2024 13:30

Previous
-0.28
Revised
-0.27
Forecast
-
Actual
-0.4

Next event - Thursday 26 December 2024 13:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for Chicago Fed National Activity Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Chicago Fed National Activity Index was -0.4.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Monday 25 November 2024 13:30
-
-0.4
Thursday 24 October 2024 12:30
-
-0.28
Monday 23 September 2024 12:30
-
0.12
Thursday 22 August 2024 12:30
-
-0.34
Monday 22 July 2024 12:30
-
0.05
Tuesday 25 June 2024 12:30
-
0.18
Thursday 23 May 2024 12:30
-
-0.23
Monday 22 April 2024 12:30
-
0.15
Monday 25 March 2024 12:30
-
0.05
Thursday 22 February 2024 13:30
-
-0.3
Thursday 25 January 2024 13:30
-
-0.15
Tuesday 26 December 2023 13:30
-
0.03
Tuesday 21 November 2023 13:30
-
-0.49
Monday 23 October 2023 12:30
-
0.02
Monday 25 September 2023 12:30
-
-0.16
Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30
-
0.12
Monday 24 July 2023 12:30
0.03
-0.32
Thursday 22 June 2023 12:30
0
-0.15
Thursday 25 May 2023 12:30
-0.02
0.07
Monday 24 April 2023 12:30
-0.02
-0.19
Thursday 23 March 2023 12:30
0
-0.19
Thursday 23 February 2023 13:30
0.03
0.23
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
-
-0.49
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
-
-0.51
Monday 21 November 2022 13:30
-
-0.05
Monday 24 October 2022 12:30
-0.04
0.1
Monday 26 September 2022 12:30
0.08
0
Monday 22 August 2022 12:30
-
0.27
Monday 25 July 2022 12:30
-0.03
-0.19
Tuesday 21 June 2022 12:30
-
0.01
Monday 23 May 2022 12:30
-
0.47
Monday 25 April 2022 12:30
0.21
0.44
Monday 21 March 2022 12:30
0.29
0.51
Thursday 24 February 2022 13:30
-0.08
0.69
Monday 24 January 2022 13:30
-
-0.15
Wednesday 22 December 2021 13:30
-
0.37

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Chicago Fed National Activity Index result:

PreviousLatest
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.2%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change5351.5
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change57.453.7
ISM Services PMIBearish change5652.1
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change58.158.2
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change55.354.9
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change184K146K
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.372M7.744M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change44.448.1
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change47.150.4
ISM Manufacturing PMIBullish change46.548.4
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change54.850.3
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.1%2.3%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.6%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.6%0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change7.5%2%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change41.640.2
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change2.2%2.1%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-0.4%0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-0.9%0.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.4%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)2.8%2.8%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change1.8%1.9%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.3%-0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)1.5%1.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change215K213K
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change7%-17.3%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.7%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change7371.8
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3.1%3.2%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.155.3
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change48.548.8
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change5557
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-1.3%3.4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change219K213K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change10.3-5.5

About Chicago Fed National Activity Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Category:Economic Activity
Frequency:Monthly

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