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Chicago Fed National Activity Index

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI), released by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Most recent - Tuesday 21 November 2023 13:30

Previous
0.02
Revised
-0.02
Forecast
-
Actual
-0.49

Next event - Tuesday 26 December 2023 13:30

Previous
-0.49
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for Chicago Fed National Activity Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Chicago Fed National Activity Index was -0.49.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 21 November 2023 13:30
-
-0.49
Monday 23 October 2023 12:30
-
0.02
Monday 25 September 2023 12:30
-
-0.16
Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30
-
0.12
Monday 24 July 2023 12:30
0.03
-0.32
Thursday 22 June 2023 12:30
0
-0.15
Thursday 25 May 2023 12:30
-0.02
0.07
Monday 24 April 2023 12:30
-0.02
-0.19
Thursday 23 March 2023 12:30
0
-0.19
Thursday 23 February 2023 13:30
0.03
0.23
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
-
-0.49
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
-
-0.51
Monday 21 November 2022 13:30
-
-0.05
Monday 24 October 2022 12:30
-0.04
0.1
Monday 26 September 2022 12:30
0.08
0
Monday 22 August 2022 12:30
-
0.27
Monday 25 July 2022 12:30
-0.03
-0.19
Tuesday 21 June 2022 12:30
-
0.01
Monday 23 May 2022 12:30
-
0.47
Monday 25 April 2022 12:30
0.21
0.44
Monday 21 March 2022 12:30
0.29
0.51
Thursday 24 February 2022 13:30
-0.08
0.69
Monday 24 January 2022 13:30
-
-0.15
Wednesday 22 December 2021 13:30
-
0.37
Monday 22 November 2021 13:30
-
0.76
Monday 25 October 2021 12:30
-
-0.13
Thursday 23 September 2021 12:30
-
0.29
Monday 23 August 2021 12:30
-
0.53
Thursday 22 July 2021 12:30
-
0.09
Monday 21 June 2021 12:30
-
0.29
Monday 24 May 2021 12:30
-
0.24
Thursday 22 April 2021 12:30
-0.66
1.71
Monday 22 March 2021 12:30
0.21
-1.09
Monday 22 February 2021 13:30
0.4
0.66
Monday 25 January 2021 13:30
-
0.52
Monday 21 December 2020 13:30
-
0.27

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Chicago Fed National Activity Index result:

PreviousLatest
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.1%-1.5%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBullish change4455.8
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.7%3.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change209K218K
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.4%3%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.7%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change2.4%2.3%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change4.9%5.2%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)3.5%3.5%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bearish change2.9%2.8%
Housing Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.6%0.6%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change12.3%-5.6%
S&P Global Composite PMI(no change)50.750.7
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change5049.4
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change50.650.8
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change60.461.3
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)3.2%3.2%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change4.7%-5.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change5.8%-6.7%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.5%0%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change231K209K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.6%-0.1%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change-2%-4.1%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.475M1.487M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.358M1.372M

About Chicago Fed National Activity Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Category:Economic Activity
Frequency:Monthly

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