Fed Index of Common Inflation Expectations

Common Inflation Expectations, also known as CIE, is an indicator developed by Common Inflation Expectations in late 2020. CIE is published on a quarterly basis and summarizes the comovement of a wide variety of inflation expectations. The index is constructed using 21 inflation expectation indicators, which include both "short horizon" and "long horizon" forecasts.

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Most recent - Friday 14 October 2022 14:00

2.19%

Revised

Actual

Trading range

Announcement history

Past events

Date

Actual

Friday 14 October 2022 14:00

Friday 15 July 2022 16:07

2.19%

Friday 15 April 2022 14:00

2.17%

Friday 31 December 2021 15:00

2.09%

Thursday 30 September 2021 14:00

2.08%

Wednesday 30 June 2021 14:00

2.06%

Wednesday 31 March 2021 14:00

2.02%

Thursday 31 December 2020 15:00

1.98%

Wednesday 30 September 2020 14:00

1.94%

Tuesday 30 June 2020 14:00

1.93%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been strongly bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Fed Index of Common Inflation Expectations result:

		Previous	Latest
Initial Jobless Claims	Bearish change	233K	261K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average	Bearish change	229.75K	237.25K
Goods and Services Trade Balance	Bearish change	$-60.6B	$-74.6B
Factory Orders (MoM)	Bearish change	0.9%	0.4%
ISM Services Employment Index	Bearish change	50.8	49.2
ISM Services New Orders Index	Bearish change	56.1	52.9
ISM Services PMI	Bearish change	51.9	50.3
ISM Services Prices Paid	Bearish change	59.6	56.2
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bearish change	54.5	54.3
S&P Global Services PMI	Bearish change	55.1	54.9
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)	Bearish change	0.4%	0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)	Bearish change	4.4%	4.3%
Labor Force Participation Rate	(no change)	62.6%	62.6%
Nonfarm Payrolls	Bullish change	294K	339K
U6 Underemployment Rate	Bearish change	6.6%	6.7%
Unemployment Rate	Bearish change	3.4%	3.7%
ISM Manufacturing Employment Index	Bullish change	50.2	51.4
ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index	Bearish change	45.7	42.6
ISM Manufacturing PMI	Bearish change	47.1	46.9
ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid	Bearish change	53.2	44.2
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	Bearish change	48.5	48.4
Initial Jobless Claims	Bearish change	230K	232K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average	Bullish change	232K	229.5K
Nonfarm Productivity	Bullish change	-2.7%	-2.1%
Unit Labor Costs	Bearish change	6.3%	4.2%
ADP Employment Change	Bearish change	291K	278K
Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index	Bearish change	48.6	40.4
Housing Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0.7%	0.6%
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY)	Bearish change	0.4%	-1.1%

About Fed Index of Common Inflation Expectations

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	Federeal Reserve
Category:	Inflation
Frequency:	Quarterly

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	Canada		BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM)
	Canada		Consumer Price Index (MoM)
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	China		Consumer Price Index (MoM)
	China		Producer Price Index (YoY)
	Germany		Producer Price Index (MoM)
	Eurozone		Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)
	Eurozone		Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)
	Eurozone		Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)
	Japan		National CPI ex-Fresh Food (YoY)
	Japan		Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY)
	Japan		National CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY)
	Japan		Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY)
	Japan		National Consumer Price Index (YoY)
	Japan		Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY)
	New Zealand		RBNZ Inflation Expectations (QoQ)
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	United Kingdom		Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Retail Price Index (MoM)
	United Kingdom		Retail Price Index (YoY)
	United Kingdom		PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a
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Calendar - Fed Index of Common Inflation Expectations - United States