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Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)

The Producer Price Index ex Food & energy released by the Bureau of Labor statistics, Department of Labor measures the average changes in prices in primary markets of the US by producers of commodities in all states of processing. Those volatile products such as food and energy are excluded in order to capture an accurate calculation. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Thursday 11 May 2023 12:30

Previous
3.4%
Revised
-
Forecast
3.3%
Actual
3.2%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Wednesday 14 June 2023 12:30

Previous
3.2%
Forecast
0.5%
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

The consensus forecast for Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) is 0.5%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) was 3.2% against a forecast of 3.3%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 11 May 2023 12:30
3.3%
3.2%
Thursday 13 April 2023 12:30
3.4%
3.4%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
5.2%
4.4%
Thursday 16 February 2023 13:30
4.9%
5.4%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
5.9%
5.5%
Friday 9 December 2022 13:30
6%
6.2%
Tuesday 15 November 2022 13:30
7.2%
6.7%
Wednesday 12 October 2022 12:30
7.3%
7.2%
Wednesday 14 September 2022 12:30
7.1%
7.3%
Thursday 11 August 2022 12:30
7.6%
7.6%
Thursday 14 July 2022 12:30
8.1%
8.2%
Tuesday 14 June 2022 12:30
8.6%
8.3%
Thursday 12 May 2022 12:30
8.9%
8.8%
Wednesday 13 April 2022 12:30
8.4%
9.2%
Tuesday 15 March 2022 12:30
8.7%
8.4%
Tuesday 15 February 2022 13:30
7.9%
8.3%
Thursday 13 January 2022 13:30
8%
8.3%
Tuesday 14 December 2021 13:30
7.2%
7.7%
Tuesday 9 November 2021 13:30
6.8%
6.8%
Thursday 14 October 2021 12:30
7.1%
6.8%
Friday 10 September 2021 12:30
6.6%
6.7%
Thursday 12 August 2021 12:30
5.6%
6.2%
Wednesday 14 July 2021 12:30
5.1%
5.6%
Tuesday 15 June 2021 12:30
4.8%
4.8%
Thursday 13 May 2021 12:30
3.7%
4.1%
Friday 9 April 2021 13:00
2.7%
3.1%
Friday 12 March 2021 13:30
2.6%
2.5%
Wednesday 17 February 2021 13:30
1.1%
2%
Friday 15 January 2021 13:30
1.3%
1.2%
Friday 11 December 2020 13:30
1.5%
1.4%
Friday 13 November 2020 13:30
1.2%
1.1%
Wednesday 14 October 2020 12:30
0.9%
1.2%
Thursday 10 September 2020 12:30
0.3%
0.6%
Tuesday 11 August 2020 12:30
0%
0.3%
Friday 10 July 2020 12:30
0.4%
0.1%
Thursday 11 June 2020 12:30
0.4%
0.3%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been strongly bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change233K261K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week averageBearish change229.75K237.25K
Goods and Services Trade BalanceBearish change$-60.6B$-74.6B
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change0.9%0.4%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change50.849.2
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change56.152.9
ISM Services PMIBearish change51.950.3
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change59.656.2
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change54.554.3
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change55.154.9
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4.4%4.3%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.6%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change294K339K
U6 Underemployment RateBearish change6.6%6.7%
Unemployment RateBearish change3.4%3.7%
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change50.251.4
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBearish change45.742.6
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.146.9
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change53.244.2
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.548.4
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change230K232K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week averageBullish change232K229.5K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change-2.7%-2.1%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change6.3%4.2%
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change291K278K
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change48.640.4
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.6%
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY)Bearish change0.4%-1.1%

About Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Inflation
Frequency:Monthly

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