Interest Rate Projections - Current
At four of its eight scheduled meetings, the Federal Reserve (Fed) releases a Summary of Economic Projections, or ‘dot-plot’. This shows each member of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) forecast for where they expect the federal funds rate (the interest rate at which banks lend to each other) will go in the future. It can have a major impact on the US Dollar (USD), particularly if members change their forecasts. It is widely used as a guide to figure out the terminal rate and the possible timing of a policy pivot.
Next Event -
The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is High.
Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.
Most Recent -
Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.
Past Events
| Date | Time | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| 10 December 2025 | 19:00 | 3.6% |
| 17 September 2025 | 18:00 | 3.6% |
| 18 June 2025 | 18:00 | 3.9% |
| 19 March 2025 | 18:00 | 3.9% |
| 18 December 2024 | 19:00 | 4.4% |
| 18 September 2024 | 18:00 | 4.4% |
| 12 June 2024 | 18:00 | 5.1% |
| 20 March 2024 | 18:00 | 4.6% |
| 13 December 2023 | 19:00 | 5.4% |
| 20 September 2023 | 18:00 | 5.6% |
| 14 June 2023 | 18:00 | 5.6% |
| 22 March 2023 | 18:00 | 5.1% |
| 14 December 2022 | 19:00 | 5.1% |
| 21 September 2022 | 18:00 | 4.4% |
| 15 June 2022 | 18:00 | 3.4% |
| 16 March 2022 | 18:00 | 1.9% |
| 15 December 2021 | 19:00 | 0.1% |
| 22 September 2021 | 18:00 | 0.1% |
| 16 June 2021 | 18:00 | 0.1% |
| 17 March 2021 | 19:00 | 0.1% |