Playbook

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A journal that only records is a diary. A playbook tells you what to do differently tomorrow. Trades group by the tag in the order comment, by market, direction, entry hour, weekday, or holding-time bucket. For each group: count, win rate, expectancy per trade, profit factor, net, and a diverging bar so the shape of the book is visible without reading numbers. Verdicts are the point, and they are gated on sample size. Below your confidence threshold a group is labelled too few, with the number of trades still needed. It will not tell you to scale up something with eleven trades behind it, which is the single most expensive thing a performance report can do. Above the threshold, each group is judged against your own average trade rather than an absolute bar, so a setup that beats the rest of your book by thirty five percent earns a scale up even if the book itself is modest. If you are not tagging orders yet, group by market and start tagging. One word in the comment field is enough.

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