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Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index

The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index released by ISM-Chicago, Inc captures business conditions across Illinois, Indiana and Michigan. This index is an indicator of business trends and it is interrelated with the ISM manufacturing Index. It is widely used to indicate the overall economic condition in US. A result above 50 is bullish for the USD, whereas a result below 50 is seen as bearish.

Next event - Friday 29 September 2023 13:45

Previous
48.7
Forecast
47.6
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

The consensus forecast for Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index is 47.6. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Most recent - Thursday 31 August 2023 13:45

Previous
42.8
Revised
-
Forecast
44.1
Actual
48.7

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index was 48.7 against a forecast of 44.1.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 31 August 2023 13:45
44.1
48.7
Monday 31 July 2023 13:45
43
42.8
Friday 30 June 2023 13:45
44
41.5
Wednesday 31 May 2023 13:45
47
40.4
Friday 28 April 2023 13:45
43.5
48.6
Friday 31 March 2023 13:45
43.4
43.8
Tuesday 28 February 2023 14:45
45
43.6
Tuesday 31 January 2023 14:45
41
44.3
Friday 30 December 2022 14:45
41.2
44.9
Wednesday 30 November 2022 14:45
47
37.2
Monday 31 October 2022 13:45
47
45.2
Friday 30 September 2022 13:45
51.8
45.7
Wednesday 31 August 2022 13:45
52
52.2
Friday 29 July 2022 13:45
55
52.1
Thursday 30 June 2022 13:45
58
56
Tuesday 31 May 2022 13:45
55
60.3
Friday 29 April 2022 13:45
62
56.4
Thursday 31 March 2022 13:45
57
62.9
Monday 28 February 2022 14:45
63
56.3
Monday 31 January 2022 14:45
61.7
65.2
Thursday 30 December 2021 14:45
62
63.1
Tuesday 30 November 2021 14:45
67
61.8
Friday 29 October 2021 13:45
63.5
68.4
Thursday 30 September 2021 13:45
65
64.7
Tuesday 31 August 2021 13:45
68
66.8
Friday 30 July 2021 13:45
-
73.4
Wednesday 30 June 2021 13:45
70
66.1
Friday 28 May 2021 13:45
68
75.2
Friday 30 April 2021 13:45
65.3
72.1
Wednesday 31 March 2021 13:45
60.7
66.3
Friday 26 February 2021 14:45
61.1
59.5
Friday 29 January 2021 14:45
58.5
63.8
Wednesday 30 December 2020 14:45
57
59.5
Monday 30 November 2020 14:45
59
58.2
Friday 30 October 2020 13:45
58
61.1
Wednesday 30 September 2020 13:45
52
62.4

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index result:

PreviousLatest
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change4.3%3.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.9%0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.9%-7.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)3.7%3.7%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)2.1%2.1%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change2%1.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change202K204K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)2.5%2.5%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-5.6%0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-6%-0.7%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0.1%0.4%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.4%0.9%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change8%-8.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change50.250.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.948.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change50.550.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-2.2%-0.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K201K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)5.6%5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)2.5%2.5%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.443M1.543M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.447M1.283M
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.567.7
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3%2.7%

About Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:ISM-Chicago
Category:Economic Activity
Frequency:Monthly

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