ILO Unemployment

The ILO Unemployment Rate released by INSEE is the number of unemployed workers compared to all the active workers in the economy. If the number rises, it indicates a lack of expansion within the French labor market and thus a weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Tuesday 11 February 2025 06:30

Previous
7.4%
Revised
-
Forecast
7.5%
Actual
7.3%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for EUR/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/EUR pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ILO Unemployment was 7.3% against a forecast of 7.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 11 February 2025 06:30
7.5%
7.3%
Wednesday 13 November 2024 06:30
7.4%
7.4%
Friday 9 August 2024 05:30
7.5%
7.3%
Friday 17 May 2024 05:30
7.4%
7.5%
Tuesday 13 February 2024 06:30
7.4%
7.5%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 06:30
-
7.4%
Friday 11 August 2023 05:30
7.1%
7.2%
Wednesday 17 May 2023 05:30
7.1%
7.1%
Tuesday 14 February 2023 06:30
7.3%
7.2%
Tuesday 15 November 2022 06:30
7.3%
7.3%
Friday 12 August 2022 05:30
7.3%
7.4%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 05:30
7.4%
7.3%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ILO Unemployment result:

PreviousLatest
Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY)Bullish change-4.1%-0.2%
Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)Bullish change-1.3%3%
Trade Balance s.a.Bullish change€17.9B€21.1B
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.1%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.9%1.5%
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Bullish change-0.2%3.8%
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Bullish change0%3.6%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-1.6%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%1.9%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change50.150.4
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change49.750.1
HCOB Services PMIBullish change48.849
HCOB Services PMIBearish change54.753.4
Sentix Investor ConfidenceBullish change-19.5-8.1
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)(no change)1%1%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.7%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)(no change)0.6%0.6%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.2%2.2%
Unemployment Rate(no change)6.2%6.2%
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change4848.4
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change46.649.3
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change49.548.1
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.2%2.1%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.5%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change2.3%2.2%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)(no change)1.2%1.2%
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)(no change)2.1%2.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.9%2%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change-0.2%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)(no change)-0.2%-0.2%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)(no change)-0.4%-0.4%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change0.5%0.6%
Unemployment ChangeBullish change26K4K
Unemployment Rate s.a.(no change)6.3%6.3%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bearish change0.9%0.8%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change-0.1%0.1%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.2%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change4.3%2.2%
Business ClimateBullish change-0.72-0.67
Consumer Confidence(no change)-16.7-16.7
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBearish change9593.6
Gross Domestic Product - Estimated (QoQ)Bearish change0.8%0.6%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.2%2.2%
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBullish change-24.3-20.6

About ILO Unemployment

Country:France
Currency:EUR
Source:INSEE
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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