Initial Jobless Claims

Every Thursday, the US Department of Labor publishes the number of previous week’s initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US. Since this reading could be highly volatile, investors may pay closer attention to the four-week average. A downtrend is seen as a sign of an improving labour market and could have a positive impact on the USD’s performance against its rivals and vice versa.

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Most recent - Thursday 28 September 2023 12:30

202K

Revised

202K

Forecast

215K

Actual

204K

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Thursday 5 October 2023 12:30

204K

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Initial Jobless Claims yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Initial Jobless Claims was 204K against a forecast of 215K.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Thursday 28 September 2023 12:30

215K

204K

Thursday 21 September 2023 12:30

225K

201K

Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30

225K

220K

Thursday 7 September 2023 12:30

234K

216K

Thursday 31 August 2023 12:30

235K

228K

Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30

240K

230K

Thursday 17 August 2023 12:30

240K

239K

Thursday 10 August 2023 12:30

230K

248K

Thursday 3 August 2023 12:30

227K

Thursday 27 July 2023 12:30

235K

221K

Thursday 20 July 2023 12:30

242K

228K

Thursday 13 July 2023 12:30

250K

237K

Thursday 6 July 2023 12:30

245K

248K

Thursday 29 June 2023 12:30

265K

239K

Thursday 22 June 2023 12:30

260K

264K

Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30

249K

262K

Thursday 8 June 2023 12:30

235K

261K

Thursday 1 June 2023 12:30

235K

232K

Thursday 25 May 2023 12:30

245K

229K

Thursday 18 May 2023 12:30

254K

242K

Thursday 11 May 2023 12:30

245K

264K

Thursday 4 May 2023 12:30

240K

242K

Thursday 27 April 2023 12:30

248K

230K

Thursday 20 April 2023 12:30

240K

245K

Thursday 13 April 2023 12:30

232K

239K

Thursday 6 April 2023 12:30

200K

228K

Thursday 30 March 2023 12:30

196K

198K

Thursday 23 March 2023 12:30

201K

191K

Thursday 16 March 2023 12:30

205K

192K

Thursday 9 March 2023 13:30

195K

211K

Thursday 2 March 2023 13:30

195K

190K

Thursday 23 February 2023 13:30

200K

192K

Thursday 16 February 2023 13:30

200K

194K

Thursday 9 February 2023 13:30

190K

196K

Thursday 2 February 2023 13:30

200K

183K

Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30

205K

186K

Thursday 19 January 2023 13:30

214K

190K

Thursday 12 January 2023 13:30

215K

205K

Thursday 5 January 2023 13:30

225K

204K

Thursday 29 December 2022 13:30

225K

Thursday 22 December 2022 13:30

222K

216K

Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30

230K

211K

Thursday 8 December 2022 13:30

230K

Thursday 1 December 2022 13:30

235K

225K

Wednesday 23 November 2022 13:30

225K

240K

Thursday 17 November 2022 13:30

225K

222K

Thursday 10 November 2022 13:30

220K

225K

Thursday 3 November 2022 12:30

220K

217K

Thursday 27 October 2022 12:30

220K

217K

Thursday 20 October 2022 12:30

230K

214K

Thursday 13 October 2022 12:30

225K

228K

Thursday 6 October 2022 12:30

200K

219K

Thursday 29 September 2022 12:30

215K

193K

Thursday 22 September 2022 12:30

218K

213K

Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30

226K

213K

Thursday 8 September 2022 12:30

240K

222K

Thursday 1 September 2022 12:30

248K

232K

Thursday 25 August 2022 12:30

253K

243K

Thursday 18 August 2022 12:30

265K

250K

Thursday 11 August 2022 12:30

263K

262K

Thursday 4 August 2022 12:30

259K

260K

Thursday 28 July 2022 12:30

253K

256K

Thursday 21 July 2022 12:30

240K

251K

Thursday 14 July 2022 12:30

235K

244K

Thursday 7 July 2022 12:30

230K

235K

Thursday 30 June 2022 12:30

228K

231K

Thursday 23 June 2022 12:30

227K

229K

Thursday 16 June 2022 12:30

229K

Thursday 9 June 2022 12:30

210K

229K

Thursday 2 June 2022 12:30

210K

200K

Thursday 26 May 2022 12:30

215K

210K

Thursday 19 May 2022 12:30

200K

218K

Thursday 12 May 2022 12:30

195K

203K

Thursday 5 May 2022 12:30

182K

200K

Thursday 28 April 2022 12:30

180K

Thursday 21 April 2022 12:30

180K

184K

Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30

171K

185K

Thursday 7 April 2022 12:30

200K

166K

Thursday 31 March 2022 12:30

197K

202K

Thursday 24 March 2022 12:30

212K

187K

Thursday 17 March 2022 12:30

220K

214K

Thursday 10 March 2022 13:30

216K

227K

Thursday 3 March 2022 13:30

225K

215K

Thursday 24 February 2022 13:30

235K

232K

Thursday 17 February 2022 13:30

219K

248K

Thursday 10 February 2022 13:30

230K

223K

Thursday 3 February 2022 13:30

245K

238K

Thursday 27 January 2022 13:30

260K

Thursday 20 January 2022 13:30

220K

286K

Thursday 13 January 2022 13:30

200K

230K

Thursday 6 January 2022 13:30

197K

207K

Thursday 30 December 2021 13:30

208K

198K

Thursday 23 December 2021 13:30

205K

Thursday 16 December 2021 13:30

195K

206K

Thursday 9 December 2021 13:30

215K

184K

Thursday 2 December 2021 13:30

240K

222K

Wednesday 24 November 2021 13:30

260K

199K

Thursday 18 November 2021 13:30

260K

268K

Wednesday 10 November 2021 13:30

267K

Thursday 4 November 2021 12:30

277K

269K

Thursday 28 October 2021 12:30

290K

281K

Thursday 21 October 2021 12:30

300K

290K

Thursday 14 October 2021 12:30

319K

293K

Thursday 7 October 2021 12:30

348K

326K

Thursday 30 September 2021 12:30

335K

362K

Thursday 23 September 2021 12:30

320K

351K

Thursday 16 September 2021 12:30

328K

332K

Thursday 9 September 2021 12:30

335K

310K

Thursday 2 September 2021 12:30

345K

340K

Thursday 26 August 2021 12:30

350K

353K

Thursday 19 August 2021 12:30

363K

348K

Thursday 12 August 2021 12:30

375K

Thursday 5 August 2021 12:30

384K

385K

Thursday 29 July 2021 12:30

380K

400K

Thursday 22 July 2021 12:30

350K

419K

Thursday 15 July 2021 12:30

360K

Thursday 8 July 2021 12:30

350K

373K

Thursday 1 July 2021 12:30

393K

364K

Thursday 24 June 2021 12:30

380K

411K

Thursday 17 June 2021 12:30

359K

412K

Thursday 10 June 2021 12:30

370K

376K

Thursday 3 June 2021 12:30

395K

385K

Thursday 27 May 2021 12:30

425K

406K

Thursday 20 May 2021 12:30

450K

444K

Thursday 13 May 2021 12:30

490K

473K

Thursday 6 May 2021 12:30

540K

498K

Thursday 29 April 2021 12:30

549K

553K

Thursday 22 April 2021 12:30

617K

547K

Thursday 15 April 2021 12:30

700K

576K

Thursday 8 April 2021 12:30

680K

744K

Thursday 1 April 2021 12:30

680K

719K

Thursday 25 March 2021 12:30

730K

684K

Thursday 18 March 2021 12:30

700K

770K

Thursday 11 March 2021 13:30

725K

712K

Thursday 4 March 2021 13:30

750K

745K

Thursday 25 February 2021 13:30

838K

730K

Thursday 18 February 2021 13:30

765K

861K

Thursday 11 February 2021 13:30

757K

793K

Thursday 4 February 2021 13:30

830K

779K

Thursday 28 January 2021 13:30

875K

847K

Thursday 21 January 2021 13:30

910K

900K

Thursday 14 January 2021 13:30

795K

965K

Thursday 7 January 2021 13:30

800K

787K

Thursday 31 December 2020 13:30

833K

787K

Wednesday 23 December 2020 13:30

885K

803K

Thursday 17 December 2020 13:30

800K

885K

Thursday 10 December 2020 13:30

725K

853K

Thursday 3 December 2020 13:30

775K

712K

Wednesday 25 November 2020 13:30

730K

778K

Thursday 19 November 2020 13:30

707K

742K

Thursday 12 November 2020 13:30

735K

709K

Thursday 5 November 2020 13:30

732K

751K

Thursday 29 October 2020 12:30

775K

751K

Thursday 22 October 2020 12:30

860K

787K

Thursday 15 October 2020 12:30

825K

898K

Thursday 8 October 2020 12:30

820K

840K

Thursday 1 October 2020 12:30

850K

837K

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Initial Jobless Claims result:

		Previous	Latest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bullish change	67.7	68.1
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bullish change	2.7%	2.8%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index	Bearish change	48.7	44.1
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0.2%	0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bearish change	4.3%	3.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.4%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	3.4%	3.5%
Personal Income (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.4%
Personal Spending	Bearish change	0.9%	0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)	Bearish change	0.9%	-7.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)	(no change)	3.7%	3.7%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized	(no change)	2.1%	2.1%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index	Bearish change	2%	1.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)	(no change)	2.5%	2.5%
Durable Goods Orders	Bullish change	-5.6%	0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex Defense	Bullish change	-6%	-0.7%
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation	Bullish change	0.1%	0.4%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft	Bullish change	-0.4%	0.9%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bearish change	8%	-8.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.4%	0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bearish change	50.2	50.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	Bullish change	47.9	48.9
S&P Global Services PMI	Bearish change	50.5	50.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bullish change	-2.2%	-0.7%
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey	Bearish change	12	-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision	(no change)	5.5%	5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st year	Bullish change	4.6%	5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd year	Bullish change	3.4%	3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd year	Bearish change	3.1%	2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current	(no change)	5.6%	5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer	(no change)	2.5%	2.5%
Building Permits (MoM)	Bullish change	1.443M	1.543M
Housing Starts (MoM)	Bearish change	1.447M	1.283M

About Initial Jobless Claims

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Department of Labor
Category:	Labor Market
Frequency:	Weekly/week-based

Related events

	Australia		Unemployment Rate s.a.
	Australia		Employment Change s.a.
	Canada		Unemployment Rate
	Canada		Net Change in Employment
	New Zealand		Unemployment Rate
	New Zealand		Employment Change
	United Kingdom		Employment Change
	United Kingdom		ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)
	United Kingdom		Claimant Count Change
	United States		Nonfarm Payrolls
	United States		ADP Employment Change
	Australia		Wage Price Index (QoQ)
	Australia		Full-Time Employment
	Canada		Participation Rate
	Canada		Average Hourly Wages (YoY)
	Switzerland		Unemployment Rate s.a (MoM)
	Germany		Unemployment Change
	Germany		Unemployment Rate s.a.
	Eurozone		Labor Cost
	Eurozone		Unemployment Rate
	Italy		Unemployment
	Japan		Jobs / Applicants Ratio
	Japan		Unemployment Rate
	New Zealand		Participation Rate
	New Zealand		Labour Cost Index (QoQ)
	United Kingdom		Claimant Count Rate
	United Kingdom		Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)
	United Kingdom		Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)
	United States		ISM Manufacturing Employment Index
	United States		Unit Labor Costs
	United States		Personal Income (MoM)
	United States		ISM Services Employment Index
	United States		Unemployment Rate
	United States		Nonfarm Productivity
	United States		Labor Force Participation Rate
	United States		U6 Underemployment Rate
	United States		Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average
	United States		Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)
	United States		Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)

Calendar - Initial Jobless Claims - United States

Initial Jobless Claims

Most recent - Thursday 28 September 2023 12:30

Next event - Thursday 5 October 2023 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Initial Jobless Claims event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Initial Jobless Claims

Related events