Interest Rate Projections - 3rd year

The Federal Reserve releases the Summary of Economic Projections, the so-called dot-plot, on a quarterly basis. The publication summarizes policymakers' outlook for the federal funds rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation. It is widely used as a guide to figure out the location of the terminal rate and the possible timing of a policy pivot. Higher projected interest rates usually support the US Dollar, while lower projections weigh down on the USD.

Most recent - Wednesday 18 September 2024 18:00

Previous
2.9%
Actual
2.9%

Next event - Wednesday 18 December 2024 19:00

Previous
2.9%
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

Trading range

Announcement history

The most recent announced value for Interest Rate Projections - 3rd year was 2.9%.

Past events

Date
Actual
Wednesday 18 September 2024 18:00
2.9%
Wednesday 13 December 2023 19:00
2.9%
Wednesday 20 September 2023 18:00
2.9%
Wednesday 14 December 2022 19:00
3.1%
Wednesday 21 September 2022 18:00
2.9%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 19:00
2.1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Interest Rate Projections - 3rd year result:

PreviousLatest
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.2%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change5351.5
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change57.453.7
ISM Services PMIBearish change5652.1
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change58.158.2
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change55.354.9
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change184K146K
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.372M7.744M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change44.448.1
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change47.150.4
ISM Manufacturing PMIBullish change46.548.4
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change54.850.3
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.1%2.3%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.6%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.6%0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change7.5%2%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change41.640.2
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change2.2%2.1%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-0.4%0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-0.9%0.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.4%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)2.8%2.8%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change1.8%1.9%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.3%-0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)1.5%1.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change215K213K
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change7%-17.3%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.7%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change7371.8
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3.1%3.2%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.155.3
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change48.548.8
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change5557
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-1.3%3.4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change219K213K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change10.3-5.5

About Interest Rate Projections - 3rd year

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Federal Reserve
Category:Central Banks
Frequency:Irregular

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