Interest Rate Projections - Longer

The Federal Reserve releases the Summary of Economic Projections, the so-called dot-plot, on a quarterly basis. The publication summarizes policymakers' outlook for the federal funds rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation. It is widely used as a guide to figure out the location of the terminal rate and the possible timing of a policy pivot. Higher projected interest rates usually support the US Dollar, while lower projections weigh down on the USD.

Most recent - Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00

Previous
2.6%
Actual
2.8%

Trading range

Announcement history

The most recent announced value for Interest Rate Projections - Longer was 2.8%.

Past events

Date
Actual
Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00
2.8%
Wednesday 20 March 2024 18:00
2.6%
Wednesday 13 December 2023 19:00
2.5%
Wednesday 20 September 2023 18:00
2.5%
Wednesday 14 June 2023 18:00
2.5%
Wednesday 22 March 2023 18:00
2.5%
Wednesday 14 December 2022 19:00
2.5%
Wednesday 21 September 2022 18:00
2.5%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 18:00
2.5%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 18:00
2.4%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 19:00
2.5%
Wednesday 22 September 2021 18:00
2.5%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Interest Rate Projections - Longer result:

PreviousLatest
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change223K243K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change1.313.9
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change1%0.6%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.399M1.446M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.314M1.353M
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change0.4%0.9%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change-6-6.6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change68.266
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3%2.9%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.6%3%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-347B$-66B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.3%3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.4%3.3%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change239K222K

About Interest Rate Projections - Longer

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Federal Reserve
Category:Central Banks
Frequency:Irregular

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