Monthly Budget Statement

The Monthly Budget Statement released by the Financial Management Service summarizes the financial activities of federal entities, disbursing officers, and Federal Reserve banks. A positive budget statement that receipts exceed budgetary outlays is seen as bullish for the USD. On the other hands, a negative figure (deficit) that indicates government debt is seen as bearish.

Most recent - Monday 12 February 2024 19:00

Previous
$-129B
Revised
-
Forecast
$-21B
Actual
$-22B

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Monday 11 March 2024 18:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Monthly Budget Statement yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Monthly Budget Statement was $-22B against a forecast of $-21B.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Monday 12 February 2024 19:00
$-21B
$-22B
Thursday 11 January 2024 19:00
$-65.25B
$-129B
Tuesday 12 December 2023 19:00
$-301.05B
$-314B
Monday 13 November 2023 19:00
$-65B
$-67B
Friday 20 October 2023 18:00
$-78.6B
$-171B
Wednesday 13 September 2023 18:00
$-240B
$89B
Thursday 10 August 2023 18:00
$-109.3B
$-221B
Thursday 13 July 2023 18:00
$-175B
$-228B
Monday 12 June 2023 18:00
$-236B
$-240B
Wednesday 10 May 2023 18:00
$235B
$176B
Wednesday 12 April 2023 18:00
$-302B
$-378B
Friday 10 March 2023 19:00
$-256B
$-262B
Friday 10 February 2023 19:00
$-63B
$-39B
Thursday 12 January 2023 19:00
$-70B
$-85B
Monday 12 December 2022 19:00
-
$-249B
Thursday 10 November 2022 19:00
$-90B
$-88B
Friday 21 October 2022 14:30
-
$-430B
Tuesday 13 September 2022 18:00
$-213.5B
$-220B
Wednesday 10 August 2022 18:00
$-194B
$-211B
Wednesday 13 July 2022 18:00
$-76.5B
$-89B
Friday 10 June 2022 18:00
$-120B
$-66B
Wednesday 11 May 2022 18:00
$226B
$308B
Tuesday 12 April 2022 18:00
$-191B
$-193B
Thursday 10 March 2022 19:00
$-49.5B
$-217B
Thursday 10 February 2022 19:00
$25B
$119B
Wednesday 12 January 2022 19:00
-
$-21B
Friday 10 December 2021 19:00
$-195B
$-191B
Wednesday 10 November 2021 19:00
$-179B
$-165B
Friday 22 October 2021 18:00
$-60B
$-62B
Monday 13 September 2021 18:00
$-173B
$-171B
Wednesday 11 August 2021 18:00
$-307B
$-302B
Tuesday 13 July 2021 18:00
$-194B
$-174B
Thursday 10 June 2021 18:00
-
$-132B
Wednesday 12 May 2021 18:00
$-220B
$-226B
Monday 12 April 2021 18:00
$-265B
$-660B
Wednesday 10 March 2021 19:00
$-265B
$-311B

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Monthly Budget Statement result:

PreviousLatest
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-0.8%3.1%
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change52.551.3
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change5251.4
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change50.751.5
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change213K201K
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change7979.6
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)2.9%2.9%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.5%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.493M1.47M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.562M1.331M
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change1.7%2%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.3%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change1%0.9%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.1%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-43.7-2.4
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.8%
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change-10.65.2
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change220K212K
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.6%-0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.6%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)3.9%3.9%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.4%3.1%

About Monthly Budget Statement

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of the Fiscal Service
Category:Politics
Frequency:Monthly

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