Monthly Budget Statement

The Monthly Budget Statement released by the Financial Management Service summarizes the financial activities of federal entities, disbursing officers, and Federal Reserve banks. A positive budget statement that receipts exceed budgetary outlays is seen as bullish for the USD. On the other hands, a negative figure (deficit) that indicates government debt is seen as bearish.

Most recent - Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00

Previous
$209.5B
Revised
-
Forecast
$-250B
Actual
$-347B

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Wednesday 10 July 2024 18:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Monthly Budget Statement yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Monthly Budget Statement was $-347B against a forecast of $-250B.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00
$-250B
$-347B
Friday 10 May 2024 18:00
$244.5B
$210B
Wednesday 10 April 2024 18:00
$-197.5B
$-236B
Tuesday 12 March 2024 18:00
$-299B
$-296B
Monday 12 February 2024 19:00
$-21B
$-22B
Thursday 11 January 2024 19:00
$-65.25B
$-129B
Tuesday 12 December 2023 19:00
$-301.05B
$-314B
Monday 13 November 2023 19:00
$-65B
$-67B
Friday 20 October 2023 18:00
$-78.6B
$-171B
Wednesday 13 September 2023 18:00
$-240B
$89B
Thursday 10 August 2023 18:00
$-109.3B
$-221B
Thursday 13 July 2023 18:00
$-175B
$-228B
Monday 12 June 2023 18:00
$-236B
$-240B
Wednesday 10 May 2023 18:00
$235B
$176B
Wednesday 12 April 2023 18:00
$-302B
$-378B
Friday 10 March 2023 19:00
$-256B
$-262B
Friday 10 February 2023 19:00
$-63B
$-39B
Thursday 12 January 2023 19:00
$-70B
$-85B
Monday 12 December 2022 19:00
-
$-249B
Thursday 10 November 2022 19:00
$-90B
$-88B
Friday 21 October 2022 14:30
-
$-430B
Tuesday 13 September 2022 18:00
$-213.5B
$-220B
Wednesday 10 August 2022 18:00
$-194B
$-211B
Wednesday 13 July 2022 18:00
$-76.5B
$-89B
Friday 10 June 2022 18:00
$-120B
$-66B
Wednesday 11 May 2022 18:00
$226B
$308B
Tuesday 12 April 2022 18:00
$-191B
$-193B
Thursday 10 March 2022 19:00
$-49.5B
$-217B
Thursday 10 February 2022 19:00
$25B
$119B
Wednesday 12 January 2022 19:00
-
$-21B
Friday 10 December 2021 19:00
$-195B
$-191B
Wednesday 10 November 2021 19:00
$-179B
$-165B
Friday 22 October 2021 18:00
$-60B
$-62B
Monday 13 September 2021 18:00
$-173B
$-171B
Wednesday 11 August 2021 18:00
$-307B
$-302B
Tuesday 13 July 2021 18:00
$-194B
$-174B

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Monthly Budget Statement result:

PreviousLatest
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-15.6-6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.165.6
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change229K242K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.3%2.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change2.4%2.3%
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change3.9%4.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd year(no change)3.1%3.1%
Interest Rate Projections - CurrentBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - LongerBullish change2.6%2.8%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.4%3.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.6%3.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bullish change4%4.1%
Labor Force Participation RateBearish change62.7%62.5%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change165K272K
U6 Underemployment Rate(no change)7.4%7.4%
Unemployment RateBearish change3.9%4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change221K229K
Nonfarm ProductivityBearish change0.3%0.2%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change4.7%4%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change64.789K63.816K
ISM Services Employment IndexBullish change45.947.1
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change52.254.1
ISM Services PMIBullish change49.453.8
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change59.258.1
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.454.5
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change188K152K
Factory Orders (MoM)(no change)0.7%0.7%
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change8.355M8.059M

About Monthly Budget Statement

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of the Fiscal Service
Category:Politics
Frequency:Monthly
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