Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)

Price changes may cause consumers to switch from buying one good to another and the PCE Deflator has the ability to account for such substitutions. This makes it the preferred measure of inflation for the Federal Reserve and it's released by the Commerce Department.

Most recent - Friday 28 June 2024 12:30

Previous
2.7%
Revised
-
Forecast
2.6%
Actual
2.6%

Next event - Friday 26 July 2024 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) was 2.6% against a forecast of 2.6%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 28 June 2024 12:30
2.6%
2.6%
Friday 31 May 2024 12:30
2.7%
2.7%
Friday 26 April 2024 12:30
2.6%
2.7%
Friday 29 March 2024 12:30
2.5%
2.5%
Thursday 29 February 2024 13:30
2.4%
2.4%
Friday 26 January 2024 13:30
2.6%
2.6%
Friday 22 December 2023 13:30
2.8%
2.6%
Thursday 30 November 2023 13:30
3%
3%
Friday 27 October 2023 12:30
3.4%
3.4%
Friday 29 September 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.5%
Thursday 31 August 2023 12:30
3.3%
3.3%
Friday 28 July 2023 12:30
3.1%
3%
Friday 30 June 2023 12:30
4.6%
3.8%
Friday 26 May 2023 12:30
3.9%
4.4%
Friday 28 April 2023 12:30
4.6%
4.2%
Friday 31 March 2023 12:30
5.3%
5%
Friday 24 February 2023 13:30
4.9%
5.4%
Friday 27 January 2023 13:30
-
5%
Friday 23 December 2022 13:30
5.3%
5.5%
Thursday 1 December 2022 13:30
6.2%
6%
Friday 28 October 2022 12:30
5.8%
6.2%
Friday 30 September 2022 12:30
6.6%
6.2%
Friday 26 August 2022 12:30
7.4%
6.3%
Friday 29 July 2022 12:30
6.7%
6.8%
Thursday 30 June 2022 12:30
-
6.3%
Friday 27 May 2022 12:30
6.6%
6.3%
Friday 29 April 2022 12:30
6.5%
6.6%
Thursday 31 March 2022 12:30
6.7%
6.4%
Friday 25 February 2022 13:30
5.5%
6.1%
Friday 28 January 2022 13:30
6.1%
5.8%
Thursday 23 December 2021 13:30
5.6%
5.7%
Wednesday 24 November 2021 15:00
4.6%
5%
Friday 29 October 2021 12:30
4.7%
4.4%
Friday 1 October 2021 12:30
3.9%
4.3%
Friday 27 August 2021 12:30
3.5%
4.2%
Friday 30 July 2021 12:30
-
4%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change68.266
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3%2.9%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.6%3%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-347B$-66B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.3%3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.4%3.3%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change239K222K
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4.1%3.9%
Labor Force Participation RateBullish change62.5%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change218K206K
U6 Underemployment Rate(no change)7.4%7.4%
Unemployment RateBearish change4%4.1%
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.5%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change47.146.1
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change54.147.3
ISM Services PMIBearish change53.848.8
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change58.156.3
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.654.8
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change233K238K
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change157K150K
Challenger Job CutsBearish change63.816K48.786K
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.919M8.14M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBearish change51.149.3
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change45.449.3
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.748.5
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change5752.1

About Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Category:Inflation
Frequency:Monthly

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