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Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30

Previous
0.7%
Revised
0.5%
Forecast
0.2%
Actual
0.6%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30

Previous
0.6%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was 0.6% against a forecast of 0.2%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.7%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.5%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.7%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.4%
-1%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.4%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
1.8%
3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.8%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
-0.1%
-0.6%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
1%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
0.2%
0%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0%
0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
0.1%
0%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.8%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.2%
-0.3%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.7%
0.9%
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
0.6%
0.5%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30
0.4%
0.3%
Wednesday 16 February 2022 13:30
2%
3.8%
Friday 14 January 2022 13:30
0%
-1.9%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 13:30
0.8%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 November 2021 13:30
1.4%
1.7%
Friday 15 October 2021 12:30
-0.2%
0.7%
Thursday 16 September 2021 12:30
-0.8%
0.7%
Tuesday 17 August 2021 12:30
-0.3%
-1.1%
Friday 16 July 2021 12:30
-0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 June 2021 12:30
-0.8%
-1.3%
Friday 14 May 2021 12:30
1%
0%
Thursday 15 April 2021 12:30
5.9%
9.8%
Tuesday 16 March 2021 12:30
-0.5%
-3%
Wednesday 17 February 2021 13:30
1.1%
5.3%
Friday 15 January 2021 13:30
0%
-0.7%
Wednesday 16 December 2020 13:30
-0.3%
-1.1%
Tuesday 17 November 2020 13:30
0.5%
0.3%
Friday 16 October 2020 12:30
0.7%
1.9%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change8.92M9.61M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change48.551.2
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change46.849.2
ISM Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.649
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change48.443.8
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change67.768.1
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change2.7%2.8%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change48.744.1
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change4.3%3.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.9%0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.9%-7.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)3.7%3.7%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)2.1%2.1%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change2%1.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change202K204K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)2.5%2.5%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-5.6%0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-6%-0.7%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0.1%0.4%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.4%0.9%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change8%-8.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change50.250.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.948.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change50.550.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-2.2%-0.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K201K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)5.6%5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)2.5%2.5%

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
 
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