Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex Autos released by the US Census Bureau is a monthly data that shows all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes except the automobile sector. The retail sales index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence. This report is the "advance" report, which can be revised fairly significantly after the final numbers are calculated. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the USD.

Most recent - Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30

Previous
0.1%
Revised
0.2%
Forecast
0.1%
Actual
0.5%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Friday 15 November 2024 13:30

Previous
0.5%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) was 0.5% against a forecast of 0.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.2%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.4%
1.1%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.5%
0.3%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
0.2%
-0.6%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.2%
0.4%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.2%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
0%
0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
1%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
0.1%
0.1%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.8%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.1%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
0.8%
2.3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.4%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
0.2%
-0.2%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
0.4%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.1%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0.1%
-0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.4%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.6%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.8%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.3%
0.6%
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
1%
1.1%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30
0.9%
0.2%
Wednesday 16 February 2022 13:30
0.8%
3.3%
Friday 14 January 2022 13:30
0.2%
-2.3%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 13:30
0.9%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 November 2021 13:30
1%
1.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change70.573
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.1%
Fed Interest Rate DecisionBearish change5%4.75%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change218K221K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change2.1%2.2%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change2.4%1.9%
ISM Services Employment IndexBullish change48.153
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change59.457.4
ISM Services PMIBullish change54.956
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change59.458.1
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change54.354.1
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change-0.8%-0.5%
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change43.944.4
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change46.147.1
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.246.5
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBullish change48.354.8
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bullish change3.9%4%
Labor Force Participation RateBearish change62.7%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change223K12K
U6 Underemployment Rate(no change)7.7%7.7%
Unemployment Rate(no change)4.1%4.1%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change46.641.6
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.7%2.7%
Employment Cost IndexBearish change0.9%0.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change228K216K
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.2%2.1%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.3%0.5%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change72.821K55.597K
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.6%7.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change2.8%2.2%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change3%2.8%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change2.5%1.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bearish change2.5%1.5%
ADP Employment ChangeBullish change159K233K
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change7.861M7.443M
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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