Unemployment

The Unemployment Rate released by the National Institute of Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the Italian economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Italian labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Tuesday 4 March 2025 09:00

Previous
6.2%
Revised
6.4%
Forecast
6.2%
Actual
6.3%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 28 March 2025 09:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for Unemployment yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment was 6.3% against a forecast of 6.2%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 4 March 2025 09:00
6.2%
6.3%
Thursday 30 January 2025 10:00
5.7%
6.2%
Tuesday 7 January 2025 09:00
6%
5.7%
Monday 2 December 2024 09:00
6.1%
5.8%
Thursday 31 October 2024 09:00
6.2%
6.1%
Wednesday 2 October 2024 08:00
6.7%
6.2%
Friday 30 August 2024 08:00
7%
6.5%
Thursday 1 August 2024 08:00
6.8%
7%
Tuesday 2 July 2024 08:00
6.9%
6.8%
Thursday 30 May 2024 08:00
7.2%
6.9%
Friday 3 May 2024 08:00
7.5%
7.2%
Wednesday 3 April 2024 08:00
7.2%
7.5%
Friday 1 March 2024 09:00
7.2%
7.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 09:00
7.6%
7.2%
Tuesday 9 January 2024 09:00
7.9%
7.5%
Thursday 30 November 2023 09:00
7.5%
7.8%
Friday 3 November 2023 09:00
7.4%
7.4%
Monday 2 October 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.3%
Thursday 31 August 2023 08:00
7.4%
7.6%
Tuesday 1 August 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.4%
Friday 30 June 2023 08:00
7.9%
7.6%
Thursday 1 June 2023 08:00
7.8%
7.8%
Wednesday 3 May 2023 08:00
8%
7.8%
Thursday 30 March 2023 08:00
8%
8%
Thursday 2 March 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.9%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Monday 9 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Thursday 1 December 2022 09:00
8%
7.8%
Thursday 3 November 2022 09:00
7.8%
7.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 08:00
7.9%
7.8%
Thursday 1 September 2022 08:00
8.1%
7.9%
Monday 1 August 2022 08:00
8.1%
8.1%
Thursday 30 June 2022 08:00
8.4%
8.1%
Wednesday 1 June 2022 08:00
8.3%
8.4%
Monday 2 May 2022 08:00
8.4%
8.3%
Thursday 31 March 2022 08:00
8.7%
8.5%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment result:

PreviousLatest
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change-0.1%-0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change0.5%0.7%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0.5%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.6%2.6%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.4%
ZEW Survey – Current SituationBullish change-88.5-87.6
ZEW Survey – Economic SentimentBullish change2651.6
ZEW Survey – Economic SentimentBullish change24.239.8
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)(no change)1.7%1.7%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change1.7%1.6%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.9%2.9%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)(no change)0.9%0.9%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0.5%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change2.8%2.6%
Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)Bullish change-0.4%0.8%
10-y Bond AuctionBearish change2.52%2.92%
Sentix Investor ConfidenceBullish change-12.7-2.9
Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY)Bullish change-2.2%-1.6%
Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)Bullish change-1.5%2%
Trade Balance s.a.Bearish change€20.7B€16B
Employment Change (QoQ)(no change)0.1%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)Bullish change0.9%1.2%
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Bullish change-6.9%-2.6%
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Bearish change5.9%-7%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.3%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.9%1.5%

About Unemployment

Country:Italy
Currency:EUR
Source:ISTAT
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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