Unemployment

The Unemployment Rate released by the National Institute of Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the Italian economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Italian labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Friday 2 May 2025 08:00

Previous
5.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
6%
Actual
6%

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment was 6% against a forecast of 6%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 2 May 2025 08:00
6%
6%
Tuesday 1 April 2025 08:00
6.3%
5.9%
Tuesday 4 March 2025 09:00
6.2%
6.3%
Thursday 30 January 2025 10:00
5.7%
6.2%
Tuesday 7 January 2025 09:00
6%
5.7%
Monday 2 December 2024 09:00
6.1%
5.8%
Thursday 31 October 2024 09:00
6.2%
6.1%
Wednesday 2 October 2024 08:00
6.7%
6.2%
Friday 30 August 2024 08:00
7%
6.5%
Thursday 1 August 2024 08:00
6.8%
7%
Tuesday 2 July 2024 08:00
6.9%
6.8%
Thursday 30 May 2024 08:00
7.2%
6.9%
Friday 3 May 2024 08:00
7.5%
7.2%
Wednesday 3 April 2024 08:00
7.2%
7.5%
Friday 1 March 2024 09:00
7.2%
7.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 09:00
7.6%
7.2%
Tuesday 9 January 2024 09:00
7.9%
7.5%
Thursday 30 November 2023 09:00
7.5%
7.8%
Friday 3 November 2023 09:00
7.4%
7.4%
Monday 2 October 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.3%
Thursday 31 August 2023 08:00
7.4%
7.6%
Tuesday 1 August 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.4%
Friday 30 June 2023 08:00
7.9%
7.6%
Thursday 1 June 2023 08:00
7.8%
7.8%
Wednesday 3 May 2023 08:00
8%
7.8%
Thursday 30 March 2023 08:00
8%
8%
Thursday 2 March 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.9%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Monday 9 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Thursday 1 December 2022 09:00
8%
7.8%
Thursday 3 November 2022 09:00
7.8%
7.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 08:00
7.9%
7.8%
Thursday 1 September 2022 08:00
8.1%
7.9%
Monday 1 August 2022 08:00
8.1%
8.1%
Thursday 30 June 2022 08:00
8.4%
8.1%
Wednesday 1 June 2022 08:00
8.3%
8.4%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment result:

PreviousLatest
Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY)Bullish change-4.1%-0.2%
Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)Bullish change-1.3%3%
Trade Balance s.a.Bullish change€17.9B€21.1B
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.1%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.9%1.5%
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Bullish change-0.2%3.8%
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Bullish change0%3.6%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-1.6%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%1.9%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change50.150.4
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change49.750.1
HCOB Services PMIBullish change48.849
HCOB Services PMIBearish change54.753.4
Sentix Investor ConfidenceBullish change-19.5-8.1
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)(no change)1%1%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.7%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)(no change)0.6%0.6%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.2%2.2%
Unemployment Rate(no change)6.2%6.2%
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change4848.4
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change46.649.3
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change49.548.1
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.2%2.1%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.5%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change2.3%2.2%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)(no change)1.2%1.2%
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)(no change)2.1%2.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change1.9%2%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change-0.2%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)(no change)-0.2%-0.2%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)(no change)-0.4%-0.4%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change0.5%0.6%
Unemployment ChangeBullish change26K4K
Unemployment Rate s.a.(no change)6.3%6.3%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bearish change0.9%0.8%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change-0.1%0.1%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.2%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change4.3%2.2%
Business ClimateBullish change-0.72-0.67
Consumer Confidence(no change)-16.7-16.7
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBearish change9593.6
Gross Domestic Product - Estimated (QoQ)Bearish change0.8%0.6%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.2%2.2%
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBullish change-24.3-20.6

About Unemployment

Country:Italy
Currency:EUR
Source:ISTAT
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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