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Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

The Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) released by Eurostat is a measure of price movements by the comparison between the retail prices of a representative shopping basket of goods and services excluding the volatile components like food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco. The Core HICP is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. Generally, a high reading is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a low reading is seen as negative.

Most recent - Thursday 30 November 2023 10:00

Previous
4.2%
Revised
-
Forecast
3.9%
Actual
3.6%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 19 December 2023 10:00

Previous
3.6%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on EUR pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) was 3.6% against a forecast of 3.9%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 30 November 2023 10:00
3.9%
3.6%
Friday 17 November 2023 10:00
4.2%
4.2%
Tuesday 31 October 2023 10:00
4.2%
4.2%
Wednesday 18 October 2023 09:00
4.5%
4.5%
Friday 29 September 2023 09:00
4.8%
4.5%
Tuesday 19 September 2023 09:00
5.3%
5.3%
Thursday 31 August 2023 09:00
5.3%
5.3%
Friday 18 August 2023 09:00
5.5%
5.5%
Monday 31 July 2023 09:00
5.4%
5.5%
Wednesday 19 July 2023 09:00
5.4%
5.5%
Friday 30 June 2023 09:00
5.5%
5.4%
Friday 16 June 2023 09:00
5.3%
5.3%
Thursday 1 June 2023 09:00
5.5%
5.3%
Wednesday 17 May 2023 09:00
5.6%
5.6%
Tuesday 2 May 2023 09:00
5.7%
5.6%
Wednesday 19 April 2023 09:00
5.7%
5.7%
Friday 31 March 2023 09:00
5.7%
5.7%
Friday 17 March 2023 10:00
5.6%
5.6%
Thursday 2 March 2023 10:00
5.3%
5.6%
Thursday 23 February 2023 10:00
5.2%
5.3%
Wednesday 1 February 2023 10:00
5.1%
5.2%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 10:00
5.2%
5.2%
Friday 6 January 2023 10:00
5%
5.2%
Friday 16 December 2022 10:00
5%
5%
Wednesday 30 November 2022 10:00
5%
5%
Thursday 17 November 2022 10:00
5%
5%
Monday 31 October 2022 10:00
4.9%
5%
Wednesday 19 October 2022 09:00
4.8%
4.8%
Friday 30 September 2022 09:00
4.7%
4.8%
Friday 16 September 2022 09:00
4.3%
4.3%
Wednesday 31 August 2022 09:00
4.1%
4.3%
Thursday 18 August 2022 09:00
4%
4%
Friday 29 July 2022 09:00
3.8%
4%
Tuesday 19 July 2022 09:00
3.7%
3.7%
Friday 1 July 2022 09:00
3.9%
3.7%
Friday 17 June 2022 09:00
3.8%
3.8%
Tuesday 31 May 2022 09:00
3.5%
3.8%
Wednesday 18 May 2022 09:00
3.5%
3.5%
Friday 29 April 2022 09:00
3.2%
3.5%
Thursday 21 April 2022 09:00
3%
2.9%
Friday 1 April 2022 09:00
3.1%
3%
Thursday 17 March 2022 10:00
2.7%
2.7%
Wednesday 2 March 2022 10:00
2.5%
2.7%
Wednesday 23 February 2022 10:00
2.3%
2.3%
Wednesday 2 February 2022 10:00
1.9%
2.3%
Thursday 20 January 2022 10:00
2.6%
2.6%
Friday 7 January 2022 10:00
2.5%
2.6%
Friday 17 December 2021 10:00
2.6%
2.6%
Tuesday 30 November 2021 10:00
1.9%
2.6%
Wednesday 17 November 2021 10:00
2.1%
2%
Friday 29 October 2021 09:00
1.9%
2.1%
Wednesday 20 October 2021 09:00
1.9%
1.9%
Friday 1 October 2021 09:00
1.9%
1.9%
Friday 17 September 2021 09:00
1.6%
1.6%
Tuesday 31 August 2021 09:00
1.5%
1.6%
Wednesday 18 August 2021 09:00
0.7%
0.7%
Friday 30 July 2021 09:00
0.8%
0.7%
Friday 16 July 2021 09:00
0.9%
0.9%
Wednesday 30 June 2021 09:00
0.9%
0.9%
Thursday 17 June 2021 09:00
0.9%
1%
Tuesday 1 June 2021 09:00
0.9%
0.9%
Wednesday 19 May 2021 09:00
0.8%
0.7%
Friday 30 April 2021 09:00
0.9%
0.8%
Friday 16 April 2021 09:00
0.9%
0.9%
Wednesday 31 March 2021 09:00
1.2%
0.9%
Wednesday 17 March 2021 10:00
1.1%
1.1%
Tuesday 2 March 2021 10:00
1.1%
1.1%
Tuesday 23 February 2021 10:00
1.4%
1.4%
Wednesday 3 February 2021 10:00
0.9%
1.4%
Wednesday 20 January 2021 10:00
0.2%
0.2%
Thursday 7 January 2021 10:00
0.2%
0.2%
Thursday 17 December 2020 10:00
0.2%
0.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change-12.4%-9.4%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change47.147.6
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change47.147.8
HCOB Services PMIBullish change48.749.6
HCOB Services PMIBullish change47.749.5
HCOB Services PMIBearish change51.151
Sentix Investor ConfidenceBullish change-18.6-16.8
Trade Balance s.a.Bullish change€16.7B€17.8B
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change0%0.1%
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change42.342.6
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change44.944.4
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change45.146.3
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bearish change1.8%0.7%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change1.7%0.8%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.6%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.5%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change2.9%2.4%
Unemployment Rate(no change)6.5%6.5%
Unemployment ChangeBullish change30K22K
Unemployment Rate s.a.Bearish change5.8%5.9%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bearish change4.5%3.8%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.8%1.1%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bullish change-4.3%-0.1%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.4%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.8%3.2%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change-0.2%-0.7%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change3%2.3%
Business ClimateBearish change-0.33-0.39
Consumer Confidence(no change)-16.9-16.9
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBullish change93.593.8
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change3.5%3.2%
Gfk Consumer Confidence SurveyBullish change-28.1-27.8
IFO – Business ClimateBullish change86.987.3
IFO – Current AssessmentBullish change89.289.4
IFO – ExpectationsBullish change84.885.2
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)(no change)-0.1%-0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bearish change-0.3%-0.4%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)(no change)-0.8%-0.8%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change46.547.1
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change43.143.8
HCOB Services PMIBullish change47.848.2
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change45.947.1
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change40.842.3
HCOB Services PMIBullish change48.248.7
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change44.644.5
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change42.842.6
HCOB Services PMIBullish change45.245.3
Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-17.8-16.9

About Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

Country:Eurozone
Currency:EUR
Source:Eurostat
Category:Inflation
Frequency:Monthly

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