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Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate released by the Eurostat is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the European Economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the European lobar market. As a result, a rise leads to weaken the European economy. Generally speaking, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Thursday 31 August 2023 09:00

Previous
6.4%
Revised
-
Forecast
6.4%
Actual
6.4%

Next event - Monday 2 October 2023 09:00

Previous
6.4%
Forecast
6.4%
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on EUR pairs is medium.

The consensus forecast for Unemployment Rate is 6.4%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment Rate was 6.4% against a forecast of 6.4%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 31 August 2023 09:00
6.4%
6.4%
Tuesday 1 August 2023 09:00
6.5%
6.4%
Friday 30 June 2023 09:00
6.5%
6.5%
Thursday 1 June 2023 09:00
6.5%
6.5%
Wednesday 3 May 2023 09:00
6.6%
6.5%
Friday 31 March 2023 09:00
6.7%
6.6%
Thursday 2 March 2023 10:00
6.6%
6.7%
Wednesday 1 February 2023 10:00
6.5%
6.6%
Monday 9 January 2023 10:00
6.5%
6.5%
Thursday 1 December 2022 10:00
6.6%
6.5%
Thursday 3 November 2022 10:00
6.6%
6.6%
Friday 30 September 2022 09:00
6.6%
6.6%
Thursday 1 September 2022 09:00
6.6%
6.6%
Monday 1 August 2022 09:00
6.6%
6.6%
Thursday 30 June 2022 09:00
6.8%
6.6%
Wednesday 1 June 2022 09:00
6.7%
6.8%
Tuesday 3 May 2022 09:00
6.7%
6.8%
Thursday 31 March 2022 09:00
6.7%
6.8%
Thursday 3 March 2022 10:00
6.9%
6.8%
Tuesday 1 February 2022 10:00
7.1%
7%
Monday 10 January 2022 10:00
7.2%
7.2%
Thursday 2 December 2021 10:00
7.3%
7.3%
Wednesday 3 November 2021 10:00
7.4%
7.4%
Thursday 30 September 2021 09:00
7.5%
7.5%
Wednesday 1 September 2021 09:00
7.6%
7.6%
Friday 30 July 2021 09:00
7.9%
7.7%
Thursday 1 July 2021 09:00
8%
7.9%
Tuesday 1 June 2021 09:00
8.1%
8%
Friday 30 April 2021 09:00
8.3%
8.1%
Tuesday 6 April 2021 09:00
8.1%
8.3%
Thursday 4 March 2021 10:00
8.3%
8.1%
Monday 1 February 2021 10:00
8.3%
8.3%
Friday 8 January 2021 10:00
8.5%
8.3%
Wednesday 2 December 2020 10:00
8.4%
8.4%
Friday 30 October 2020 10:00
8.3%
8.3%
Thursday 1 October 2020 09:00
8.1%
8.1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bullish change5.5%5.7%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change5.4%5.3%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change5.3%4.5%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change5.2%4.3%
Unemployment ChangeBullish change20K10K
Unemployment Rate s.a.(no change)5.7%5.7%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bearish change5.7%5.6%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change-0.8%-1.2%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change-2.2%-2.3%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change6.1%4.5%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change6.4%4.3%
Business ClimateBullish change-0.41-0.36
Consumer Confidence(no change)-17.8-17.8
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBearish change93.693.3
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.4%3.2%
Gfk Consumer Confidence SurveyBearish change-25.6-26.5
IFO – Business ClimateBearish change85.885.7
IFO – Current AssessmentBearish change8988.7
IFO – ExpectationsBullish change82.782.9
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change46.747.1
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change43.543.4
HCOB Services PMIBullish change47.948.4
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change44.646.2
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change39.139.8
HCOB Services PMIBullish change47.349.8
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change4643.5
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change4643.6
HCOB Services PMIBearish change4643.9
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0.4%0.5%
Consumer ConfidenceBearish change-16-17.8
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-1.1%0.3%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change-6%-12.6%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)5.3%5.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0.5%

About Unemployment Rate

Country:Eurozone
Currency:EUR
Source:Eurostat
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly

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