UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

The University of Michigan's Survey of Consumers includes a long-run, five-year, inflation expectation component that the Fed uses when calculating its quarterly Index of Common Inflation Expectations.

Most recent - Friday 7 February 2025 15:00

Previous
3.2%
Forecast
-
Actual
3.3%

Next event - Friday 21 February 2025 15:00

Previous
3.3%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation was 3.3%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 7 February 2025 15:00
-
3.3%
Friday 24 January 2025 15:00
3.3%
3.2%
Friday 10 January 2025 15:00
-
3.3%
Friday 20 December 2024 15:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 6 December 2024 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 22 November 2024 15:00
3.1%
3.2%
Friday 8 November 2024 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 25 October 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 11 October 2024 14:00
-
3%
Friday 27 September 2024 14:00
3.1%
3.1%
Friday 13 September 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 30 August 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 16 August 2024 14:00
-
3%
Friday 26 July 2024 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 12 July 2024 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 28 June 2024 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 June 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 24 May 2024 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 10 May 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 26 April 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 12 April 2024 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 28 March 2024 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 15 March 2024 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 1 March 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 16 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 19 January 2024 15:00
-
2.8%
Friday 22 December 2023 15:00
2.8%
2.9%
Friday 8 December 2023 15:00
-
2.8%
Wednesday 22 November 2023 15:00
3.2%
3.2%
Friday 10 November 2023 15:00
-
3.2%
Friday 27 October 2023 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 13 October 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 September 2023 14:00
2.7%
2.8%
Friday 15 September 2023 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 25 August 2023 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 11 August 2023 14:00
3%
2.9%
Friday 28 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3.1%
Friday 30 June 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 16 June 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 26 May 2023 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 12 May 2023 14:00
-
3.2%
Friday 28 April 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 14 April 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 31 March 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 17 March 2023 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 February 2023 15:00
2.9%
2.9%
Friday 10 February 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 27 January 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 13 January 2023 15:00
-
3%
Friday 23 December 2022 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 9 December 2022 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 23 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 28 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 14 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 16 September 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 26 August 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 12 August 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 July 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 15 July 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 June 2022 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 10 June 2022 14:00
-
3.3%
Friday 27 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 13 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 14 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 25 March 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 11 March 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 25 February 2022 15:00
-
3%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation result:

PreviousLatest
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change220K213K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.3%3.5%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.7%3.6%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$-87B$-129B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.5%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.9%3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.3%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change71.167.8
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.5%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bullish change3.9%4.1%
Labor Force Participation RateBullish change62.5%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change307K143K
U6 Underemployment Rate(no change)7.5%7.5%
Unemployment RateBullish change4.1%4%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change208K219K
Nonfarm ProductivityBearish change2.2%1.2%
Unit Labor CostsBullish change0.8%3%
Challenger Job CutsBullish change38.792K49.795K
ISM Services Employment IndexBullish change51.352.3
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change54.451.3
ISM Services PMIBearish change5452.8
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change64.460.4
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change52.452.7
ADP Employment ChangeBullish change176K183K
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change-0.4%-0.9%
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change8.156M7.6M
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change45.450.3
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change52.155.1
ISM Manufacturing PMIBullish change49.350.9
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBullish change52.554.9
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBullish change36.939.5
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Employment Cost IndexBullish change0.8%0.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.6%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.6%0.7%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.6%-5.5%

About UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:University of Michigan
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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