UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

The University of Michigan's Survey of Consumers includes a long-run, five-year, inflation expectation component that the Fed uses when calculating its quarterly Index of Common Inflation Expectations.

Next event - Friday 26 April 2024 14:00

Previous
3%
Forecast
3%
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

The consensus forecast for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation is 3%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Most recent - Friday 12 April 2024 14:00

Previous
2.8%
Forecast
-
Actual
3%

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation was 3%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 12 April 2024 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 28 March 2024 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 15 March 2024 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 1 March 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 16 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 19 January 2024 15:00
-
2.8%
Friday 22 December 2023 15:00
2.8%
2.9%
Friday 8 December 2023 15:00
-
2.8%
Wednesday 22 November 2023 15:00
3.2%
3.2%
Friday 10 November 2023 15:00
-
3.2%
Friday 27 October 2023 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 13 October 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 September 2023 14:00
2.7%
2.8%
Friday 15 September 2023 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 25 August 2023 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 11 August 2023 14:00
3%
2.9%
Friday 28 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3.1%
Friday 30 June 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 16 June 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 26 May 2023 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 12 May 2023 14:00
-
3.2%
Friday 28 April 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 14 April 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 31 March 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 17 March 2023 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 February 2023 15:00
2.9%
2.9%
Friday 10 February 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 27 January 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 13 January 2023 15:00
-
3%
Friday 23 December 2022 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 9 December 2022 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 23 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 28 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 14 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 16 September 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 26 August 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 12 August 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 July 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 15 July 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 June 2022 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 10 June 2022 14:00
-
3.3%
Friday 27 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 13 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 14 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 25 March 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 11 March 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 25 February 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 February 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 28 January 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 14 January 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Thursday 23 December 2021 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 10 December 2021 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 24 November 2021 15:00
-
3%
Friday 12 November 2021 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 29 October 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 15 October 2021 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 1 October 2021 14:00
-
3%
Friday 17 September 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 27 August 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 13 August 2021 14:00
-
3%
Friday 30 July 2021 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 16 July 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 25 June 2021 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 11 June 2021 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 28 May 2021 14:00
-
3%
Friday 14 May 2021 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 30 April 2021 14:00
-
2.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation result:

PreviousLatest
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change1.6%3.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change2%3.7%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change3.4%1.6%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change1.7%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change212K207K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change1.8%3.4%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change0.7%2.6%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change1.5%2.3%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0.1%0.2%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.4%0.2%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-5.1%8.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change52.150.9
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change51.949.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change51.750.9
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change9.5%-4.3%
Initial Jobless Claims(no change)212K212K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change3.215.5
Industrial Production (MoM)(no change)0.4%0.4%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.523M1.458M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.549M1.321M
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-20.9-14.3
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.9%0.7%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change0.3%1.1%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bullish change0.6%1.1%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change79.477.9

About UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:University of Michigan
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly

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