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UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

The University of Michigan's Survey of Consumers includes a long-run, five-year, inflation expectation component that the Fed uses when calculating its quarterly Index of Common Inflation Expectations.

Most recent - Friday 15 September 2023 14:00

Previous
3%
Forecast
-
Actual
2.7%

Next event - Friday 29 September 2023 14:00

Previous
2.7%
Forecast
2.7%
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

The consensus forecast for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation is 2.7%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation was 2.7%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 15 September 2023 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 25 August 2023 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 11 August 2023 14:00
3%
2.9%
Friday 28 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3.1%
Friday 30 June 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 16 June 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 26 May 2023 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 12 May 2023 14:00
-
3.2%
Friday 28 April 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 14 April 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 31 March 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 17 March 2023 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 February 2023 15:00
2.9%
2.9%
Friday 10 February 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 27 January 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 13 January 2023 15:00
-
3%
Friday 23 December 2022 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 9 December 2022 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 23 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 28 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 14 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 16 September 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 26 August 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 12 August 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 July 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 15 July 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 June 2022 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 10 June 2022 14:00
-
3.3%
Friday 27 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 13 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 14 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 25 March 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 11 March 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 25 February 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 February 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 28 January 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 14 January 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Thursday 23 December 2021 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 10 December 2021 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 24 November 2021 15:00
-
3%
Friday 12 November 2021 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 29 October 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 15 October 2021 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 1 October 2021 14:00
-
3%
Friday 17 September 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 27 August 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 13 August 2021 14:00
-
3%
Friday 30 July 2021 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 16 July 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 25 June 2021 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 11 June 2021 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 28 May 2021 14:00
-
3%
Friday 14 May 2021 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 30 April 2021 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 16 April 2021 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 26 March 2021 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 12 March 2021 15:00
-
2.7%
Friday 26 February 2021 15:00
-
2.7%
Friday 12 February 2021 15:00
-
2.7%
Friday 29 January 2021 15:00
-
2.7%
Friday 15 January 2021 15:00
-
2.7%
Wednesday 23 December 2020 15:00
-
2.5%
Friday 11 December 2020 15:00
-
2.5%
Wednesday 25 November 2020 15:00
-
2.5%
Friday 13 November 2020 15:00
-
2.6%
Friday 30 October 2020 14:00
-
2.4%
Friday 16 October 2020 14:00
-
2.4%
Friday 2 October 2020 14:00
-
2.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation result:

PreviousLatest
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)3.7%3.7%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)2.1%2.1%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change2%1.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change202K204K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)2.5%2.5%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-5.6%0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-6%-0.7%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0.1%0.4%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.4%0.9%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change8%-8.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change50.250.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.948.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change50.550.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-2.2%-0.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K201K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)5.6%5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)2.5%2.5%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.443M1.543M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.447M1.283M
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.567.7
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-191.9

About UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:University of Michigan
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
 
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