UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

The University of Michigan's Survey of Consumers includes a long-run, five-year, inflation expectation component that the Fed uses when calculating its quarterly Index of Common Inflation Expectations.

Most recent - Friday 27 September 2024 14:00

Previous
3.1%
Forecast
3.1%
Actual
3.1%

Next event - Friday 11 October 2024 14:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation was 3.1% against a forecast of 3.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 27 September 2024 14:00
3.1%
3.1%
Friday 13 September 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 30 August 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 16 August 2024 14:00
-
3%
Friday 26 July 2024 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 12 July 2024 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 28 June 2024 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 June 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 24 May 2024 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 10 May 2024 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 26 April 2024 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 12 April 2024 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 28 March 2024 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 15 March 2024 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 1 March 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 16 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 19 January 2024 15:00
-
2.8%
Friday 22 December 2023 15:00
2.8%
2.9%
Friday 8 December 2023 15:00
-
2.8%
Wednesday 22 November 2023 15:00
3.2%
3.2%
Friday 10 November 2023 15:00
-
3.2%
Friday 27 October 2023 14:00
3%
3%
Friday 13 October 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 September 2023 14:00
2.7%
2.8%
Friday 15 September 2023 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 25 August 2023 14:00
2.9%
3%
Friday 11 August 2023 14:00
3%
2.9%
Friday 28 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 14 July 2023 14:00
3.1%
3.1%
Friday 30 June 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 16 June 2023 14:00
3.1%
3%
Friday 26 May 2023 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 12 May 2023 14:00
-
3.2%
Friday 28 April 2023 14:00
-
3%
Friday 14 April 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 31 March 2023 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 17 March 2023 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 February 2023 15:00
2.9%
2.9%
Friday 10 February 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 27 January 2023 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 13 January 2023 15:00
-
3%
Friday 23 December 2022 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 9 December 2022 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 23 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 November 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 28 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 14 October 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 14:00
-
2.7%
Friday 16 September 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 26 August 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 12 August 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 July 2022 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 15 July 2022 14:00
-
2.8%
Friday 24 June 2022 14:00
-
3.1%
Friday 10 June 2022 14:00
-
3.3%
Friday 27 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 13 May 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 29 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Thursday 14 April 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 25 March 2022 14:00
-
3%
Friday 11 March 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 25 February 2022 15:00
-
3%
Friday 11 February 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 28 January 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Friday 14 January 2022 15:00
-
3.1%
Thursday 23 December 2021 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 10 December 2021 15:00
-
3%
Wednesday 24 November 2021 15:00
-
3%
Friday 12 November 2021 15:00
-
2.9%
Friday 29 October 2021 14:00
-
2.9%
Friday 15 October 2021 14:00
-
2.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation result:

PreviousLatest
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bullish change3.9%4%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.7%62.7%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change159K254K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change7.9%7.7%
Unemployment RateBullish change4.2%4.1%
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change4.9%-0.2%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change50.248.1
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change5359.4
ISM Services PMIBullish change51.554.9
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change57.359.4
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change54.454
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change219K225K
Challenger Job CutsBearish change75.891K72.821K
ADP Employment ChangeBullish change103K143K
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBearish change4643.9
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change44.646.1
ISM Manufacturing PMI(no change)47.247.2
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change5448.3
JOLTS Job OpeningsBullish change7.711M8.04M
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBullish change46.146.6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change6970.1
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.6%2.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.5%2.2%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.5%0.2%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-5.5%0.6%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change9.9%0%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change10.3%-0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change-0.1%0.5%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)3%3%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)2.5%2.5%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change222K218K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.2%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)2.5%2.5%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change10.3%-4.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.1%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change54.654.4
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.947
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change55.755.4

About UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:University of Michigan
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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