Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)

The Average Hourly Earning released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a significant indicator of labor cost inflation and of the tightness of labor markets. The Federal Reserve Board pays close attention to when setting interest rates. A high reading is also positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

Most recent - Friday 1 August 2025 12:30

Previous
3.8%
Revised
3.8%
Forecast
3.8%
Actual
3.9%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Friday 5 September 2025 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) was 3.9% against a forecast of 3.8%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 1 August 2025 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Thursday 3 July 2025 12:30
3.9%
3.7%
Friday 6 June 2025 12:30
3.7%
3.9%
Friday 2 May 2025 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 4 April 2025 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 7 March 2025 13:30
4.1%
4%
Friday 7 February 2025 13:30
3.8%
4.1%
Friday 10 January 2025 13:30
4%
3.9%
Friday 6 December 2024 13:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 1 November 2024 12:30
4%
4%
Friday 4 October 2024 12:30
3.8%
4%
Friday 6 September 2024 12:30
3.7%
3.8%
Friday 2 August 2024 12:30
3.7%
3.6%
Friday 5 July 2024 12:30
3.9%
3.9%
Friday 7 June 2024 12:30
3.9%
4.1%
Friday 3 May 2024 12:30
4%
3.9%
Friday 5 April 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.1%
Friday 8 March 2024 13:30
4.4%
4.3%
Friday 2 February 2024 13:30
4.1%
4.5%
Friday 5 January 2024 13:30
3.9%
4.1%
Friday 8 December 2023 13:30
4%
4%
Friday 3 November 2023 12:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 6 October 2023 12:30
4.3%
4.2%
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
4.4%
4.3%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
4.2%
4.4%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
4.2%
4.4%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
4.4%
4.3%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
4.2%
4.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
4.3%
4.2%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
4.7%
4.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
4.9%
4.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
5%
4.6%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
4.6%
5.1%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
4.7%
4.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
5.1%
5%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
5.3%
5.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBullish change4.5%4.9%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3.4%3.9%
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change57.757.2
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change61.758.6
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.1%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change5.511.9
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.9%0.5%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.8%0.5%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.8%0.3%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change227K224K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.9%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.4%3.3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0%0.9%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.6%3.7%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$27B$-291B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.7%2.7%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change2.9%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change218K226K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change-1.8%2.4%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change6.9%1.6%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change47.246.4
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change51.350.3
ISM Services PMIBearish change50.850.1
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change67.569.9
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.655.1
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change8.3%-4.8%

About Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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