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U6 Underemployment Rate

The U6 or underemployment rate, released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, considers anyone who has looked for a job within a year and desires to work as unemployed. It adds those workers who are part-time purely for economic reasons. Its wider and more realistic criteria are considered by many economists. Many analysts consider it a more accurate measure of unemployment.

Usually, a higher rate is seen in recessionary economies, while on the ​contrary, a growing economy sees its underemployment rate decreasing. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish). The number can't determinate just by itself how the markets move, as it depends on the headline reading, the Nonfarm Payrolls.

Most recent - Friday 1 September 2023 12:30

Previous
6.7%
Revised
-
Forecast
6.8%
Actual
7.1%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 6 October 2023 12:30

Previous
7.1%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for U6 Underemployment Rate yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for U6 Underemployment Rate was 7.1% against a forecast of 6.8%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
6.8%
7.1%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
-
6.7%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
-
6.9%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
6.6%
6.7%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
6.7%
6.6%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
6.7%
6.7%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
6.5%
6.8%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
6.6%
6.6%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
6.7%
6.5%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
-
6.7%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
6.8%
6.8%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
6.8%
6.7%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
6.7%
7%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
-
6.7%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
7%
6.7%
Friday 3 June 2022 12:30
6.9%
7.1%
Friday 6 May 2022 12:30
7%
7%
Friday 1 April 2022 12:30
-
6.9%
Friday 4 March 2022 13:30
7.2%
7.2%
Friday 4 February 2022 13:30
7.5%
7.1%
Friday 7 January 2022 13:30
8%
7.3%
Friday 3 December 2021 13:30
8.4%
7.8%
Friday 5 November 2021 12:30
-
8.3%
Friday 8 October 2021 12:30
9%
8.5%
Friday 3 September 2021 12:30
9.5%
8.8%
Friday 6 August 2021 12:30
10%
9.2%
Friday 2 July 2021 12:30
-
9.8%
Friday 4 June 2021 12:30
-
10.2%
Friday 7 May 2021 12:30
-
10.4%
Friday 2 April 2021 12:30
-
10.7%
Friday 5 March 2021 13:30
-
11.1%
Friday 5 February 2021 13:30
-
11.1%
Friday 8 January 2021 13:30
-
11.7%
Friday 4 December 2020 13:30
-
12%
Friday 6 November 2020 13:30
-
12.1%
Friday 2 October 2020 12:30
15.4%
12.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next U6 Underemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change67.768.1
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change2.7%2.8%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change48.744.1
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change4.3%3.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.9%0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.9%-7.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)3.7%3.7%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)2.1%2.1%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change2%1.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change202K204K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)2.5%2.5%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-5.6%0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-6%-0.7%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0.1%0.4%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.4%0.9%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change8%-8.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change50.250.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.948.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change50.550.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-2.2%-0.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K201K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)5.6%5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)2.5%2.5%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.443M1.543M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.447M1.283M

About U6 Underemployment Rate

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
 
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