Unemployment Rate

The Unemployment Rate released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a percentage that surges from dividing the number of unemployed workers by the total civilian labor force. It represents the percentage of people actively seeking employment and willing to work. Usually, as a higher rate is seen in recessionary economies, while on the ​contrary, a growing economy sees its unemployment rate decreasing. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish), although by itself, the number can't determinate the markets move as it depends on the headline reading, the Nonfarm Payroll.

Most recent - Friday 1 November 2024 12:30

Previous
4.1%
Revised
-
Forecast
4.1%
Actual
4.1%

Next event - Friday 6 December 2024 13:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Unemployment Rate yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment Rate was 4.1% against a forecast of 4.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 1 November 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.1%
Friday 4 October 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.1%
Friday 6 September 2024 12:30
4.2%
4.2%
Friday 2 August 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.3%
Friday 5 July 2024 12:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 7 June 2024 12:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 3 May 2024 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 5 April 2024 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 8 March 2024 13:30
3.7%
3.9%
Friday 2 February 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 5 January 2024 13:30
3.8%
3.7%
Friday 8 December 2023 13:30
3.9%
3.7%
Friday 3 November 2023 12:30
3.8%
3.9%
Friday 6 October 2023 12:30
3.7%
3.8%
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.8%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
3.5%
3.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
3.4%
3.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
3.6%
3.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
3.7%
3.7%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.5%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.7%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.5%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
3.6%
3.6%
Friday 3 June 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%
Friday 6 May 2022 12:30
3.5%
3.6%
Friday 1 April 2022 12:30
3.7%
3.6%
Friday 4 March 2022 13:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 4 February 2022 13:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 7 January 2022 13:30
4.1%
3.9%
Friday 3 December 2021 13:30
4.5%
4.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Fed Interest Rate DecisionBearish change5%4.75%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change218K221K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change2.1%2.2%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change2.4%1.9%
ISM Services Employment IndexBullish change48.153
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change59.457.4
ISM Services PMIBullish change54.956
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change59.458.1
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change54.354.1
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change-0.8%-0.5%
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change43.944.4
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change46.147.1
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.246.5
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBullish change48.354.8
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bullish change3.9%4%
Labor Force Participation RateBearish change62.7%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change223K12K
U6 Underemployment Rate(no change)7.7%7.7%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change46.641.6
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.7%2.7%
Employment Cost IndexBearish change0.9%0.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change228K216K
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.2%2.1%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.3%0.5%
Challenger Job CutsBearish change72.821K55.597K
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.6%7.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change2.8%2.2%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change3%2.8%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change2.5%1.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bearish change2.5%1.5%
ADP Employment ChangeBullish change159K233K
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change7.861M7.443M
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change68.970.5
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)3%3%
Durable Goods Orders(no change)-0.8%-0.8%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-1.3%-1.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.6%0.4%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change0.3%0.5%

About Unemployment Rate

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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