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ISM Manufacturing Employment Index

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index shows business conditions in the US manufacturing sector, taking into account expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries. It is a significant indicator of the overall economic condition in US. The ISM Manufacturing Employment Index represents business sentiment regarding labor market conditions and is considered a strong Non-Farm Payrolls leading indicator. A high reading is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is seen as negative.

Most recent - Friday 1 September 2023 14:00

Previous
44.4
Revised
-
Forecast
44.2
Actual
48.5

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Monday 2 October 2023 14:00

Previous
48.5
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for ISM Manufacturing Employment Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ISM Manufacturing Employment Index was 48.5 against a forecast of 44.2.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 1 September 2023 14:00
44.2
48.5
Tuesday 1 August 2023 14:00
48
44.4
Monday 3 July 2023 14:00
-
48.1
Thursday 1 June 2023 14:00
49.8
51.4
Monday 1 May 2023 14:00
47.9
50.2
Monday 3 April 2023 14:00
49.8
46.9
Wednesday 1 March 2023 15:00
51
49.1
Wednesday 1 February 2023 15:00
49
50.6
Wednesday 4 January 2023 15:00
48.3
51.4
Thursday 1 December 2022 15:00
49.3
48.4
Tuesday 1 November 2022 14:00
51.4
50
Monday 3 October 2022 14:00
52.1
48.7
Thursday 1 September 2022 14:00
49
54.2
Monday 1 August 2022 14:00
47.4
49.9
Friday 1 July 2022 14:00
50.2
47.3
Wednesday 1 June 2022 14:00
53.6
49.6
Monday 2 May 2022 14:00
54.7
50.9
Friday 1 April 2022 14:00
53.7
56.3
Tuesday 1 March 2022 15:00
54.4
52.9
Tuesday 1 February 2022 15:00
53.8
54.5
Tuesday 4 January 2022 15:00
53.5
54.2
Wednesday 1 December 2021 15:00
51.1
53.3
Monday 1 November 2021 14:00
49.6
52
Friday 1 October 2021 14:00
50.9
50.2
Wednesday 1 September 2021 14:00
51.4
49
Monday 2 August 2021 14:00
-
52.9
Thursday 1 July 2021 14:00
53
49.9
Tuesday 1 June 2021 14:00
61.5
50.9
Monday 3 May 2021 14:00
61.5
55.1
Thursday 1 April 2021 14:00
53
59.6
Monday 1 March 2021 15:00
53
54.4
Monday 1 February 2021 15:00
-
52.6
Tuesday 5 January 2021 15:00
50.7
51.5
Tuesday 1 December 2020 15:00
51.4
48.4
Monday 2 November 2020 15:00
40.9
53.2
Thursday 1 October 2020 14:00
45.8
49.6

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ISM Manufacturing Employment Index result:

PreviousLatest
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change4.3%3.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.4%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.9%0.4%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.9%-7.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)(no change)3.7%3.7%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized(no change)2.1%2.1%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change2%1.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change202K204K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)2.5%2.5%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-5.6%0.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-6%-0.7%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0.1%0.4%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.4%0.9%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change8%-8.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change50.250.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.948.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change50.550.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-2.2%-0.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K201K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)5.6%5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)2.5%2.5%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.443M1.543M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.447M1.283M
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.567.7
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3%2.7%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.4%

About ISM Manufacturing Employment Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Institute for Supply Management
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly

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