Nonfarm Productivity

The Non-farm Productivity released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the US Department of Labor shows the output per Hour of labor worked. Non-farm Productivity indicates the overall business health in the US, which has an influence on GDP. A high reading is positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Thursday 6 March 2025 13:30

Previous
1.2%
Revised
-
Forecast
1.2%
Actual
1.5%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Thursday 8 May 2025 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Nonfarm Productivity yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Nonfarm Productivity was 1.5% against a forecast of 1.2%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 6 March 2025 13:30
1.2%
1.5%
Thursday 6 February 2025 13:30
1.7%
1.2%
Tuesday 10 December 2024 13:30
2.2%
2.2%
Thursday 7 November 2024 13:30
2.3%
2.2%
Thursday 5 September 2024 12:30
2.3%
2.5%
Thursday 1 August 2024 12:30
1.7%
2.3%
Thursday 6 June 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.2%
Thursday 2 May 2024 12:30
0.8%
0.3%
Thursday 7 March 2024 13:30
3.1%
3.2%
Thursday 1 February 2024 13:30
2.5%
3.2%
Wednesday 6 December 2023 13:30
4.9%
5.2%
Thursday 2 November 2023 12:30
4.2%
4.7%
Thursday 7 September 2023 12:30
3.8%
3.5%
Thursday 3 August 2023 12:30
2%
3.7%
Thursday 1 June 2023 12:30
-2.4%
-2.1%
Thursday 4 May 2023 12:30
-1.8%
-2.7%
Thursday 2 March 2023 13:30
2.6%
1.7%
Thursday 2 February 2023 13:30
2.4%
3%
Wednesday 7 December 2022 13:30
0.5%
0.8%
Thursday 3 November 2022 12:30
0.6%
0.3%
Thursday 1 September 2022 12:30
-4.5%
-4.1%
Tuesday 9 August 2022 12:30
-4.7%
-4.6%
Thursday 2 June 2022 12:30
-7.5%
-7.3%
Thursday 5 May 2022 12:30
-5.4%
-7.5%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Nonfarm Productivity result:

PreviousLatest
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%2.6%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.7%2.3%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.5%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.4%0.7%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change2.1%6.1%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change47.644.6
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change2.6%3.5%
Employment Cost Index(no change)0.9%0.9%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change2.4%-0.3%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change2.3%3.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change2.4%3.6%
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change147K62K
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change7.48M7.192M
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.1%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change50.852.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)4.4%4.4%
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change47.247.3
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change6.7%6.5%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change4.4%-5.9%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change0.9%9.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change0.8%10.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.7%0%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change216K222K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.3%0.1%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change3.1%7.4%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change53.551.2
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change50.250.7
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change54.451.4
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.459M1.482M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.494M1.324M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change224K215K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12.5-26.4

About Nonfarm Productivity

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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