Net Long-Term TIC Flows

The Net Long-Term TIC Flows is released by the US Department of Treasury. TIC stands for Treasury International Capital. It shows in and out flows of financial resources in the United States. The TIC flows is one of the major events in the market, as it is seen by most participants as the Government resource for offsetting the current Trade Deficit. Generally speaking, a high reading is positive (or bullish) for the USD, while a low reading is negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Wednesday 16 April 2025 20:00

Previous
$-45.2B
Revised
$-42.2B
Forecast
$35.2B
Actual
$112B

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Net Long-Term TIC Flows was $112B against a forecast of $35.2B.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 16 April 2025 20:00
$35.2B
$112B
Wednesday 19 March 2025 20:00
$101.1B
$-45.2B
Tuesday 18 February 2025 21:00
$149.1B
$72B
Friday 17 January 2025 21:00
$159.9B
$79B
Thursday 19 December 2024 21:00
-
$152.3B
Monday 18 November 2024 21:00
$114.3B
$216.1B
Thursday 17 October 2024 20:00
-
$111.4B
Wednesday 18 September 2024 20:00
$54.9B
$135.4B
Thursday 15 August 2024 20:00
$56.3B
$96.1B
Thursday 18 July 2024 20:00
$98.4B
$-54.6B
Tuesday 18 June 2024 20:00
$69B
$123.1B
Wednesday 15 May 2024 20:00
$89.3B
$100.5B
Wednesday 17 April 2024 20:00
$40.2B
$71.5B
Tuesday 19 March 2024 20:00
-
$36.1B
Thursday 15 February 2024 21:00
$42.6B
$160.2B
Friday 19 January 2024 21:00
-
$126.1B
Tuesday 19 December 2023 21:00
$45.8B
$3.3B
Thursday 16 November 2023 21:00
$89.4B
$-1.7B
Wednesday 18 October 2023 20:00
-
$63.5B
Monday 18 September 2023 20:00
-
$8.8B
Tuesday 15 August 2023 20:00
$107.2B
$195.9B
Tuesday 18 July 2023 20:00
$110.2B
$25.8B
Thursday 15 June 2023 20:00
$107.4B
$127.8B
Monday 15 May 2023 20:00
$104.5B
$133.3B
Monday 17 April 2023 20:00
$101.9B
$71B
Wednesday 15 March 2023 20:00
-
$31.9B
Wednesday 15 February 2023 21:00
$97.8B
$152.8B
Wednesday 18 January 2023 21:00
-
$171.5B
Thursday 15 December 2022 21:00
-
$67.8B
Wednesday 16 November 2022 21:00
-
$118B
Tuesday 18 October 2022 20:00
-
$197.9B
Friday 16 September 2022 20:00
-
$21.4B
Monday 15 August 2022 20:00
-
$121.8B
Monday 18 July 2022 20:00
$84B
$155.3B
Wednesday 15 June 2022 20:00
-
$87.7B
Monday 16 May 2022 20:00
-
$23.1B

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Net Long-Term TIC Flows result:

PreviousLatest
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change241K228K
Nonfarm ProductivityBearish change1.7%-0.8%
Unit Labor CostsBullish change2%5.7%
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)4.5%4.5%
ISM Services Employment IndexBullish change46.249
ISM Services New Orders IndexBullish change50.452.3
ISM Services PMIBullish change50.851.6
ISM Services Prices PaidBullish change60.965.1
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change51.250.6
Factory Orders (MoM)Bullish change0.5%4.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)(no change)3.8%3.8%
Labor Force Participation RateBullish change62.5%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBearish change185K177K
U6 Underemployment RateBullish change7.9%7.8%
Unemployment Rate(no change)4.2%4.2%
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change44.746.5
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change45.247.2
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change4948.7
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBullish change69.469.8
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change223K241K
Challenger Job CutsBearish change275.24K105.441K
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%2.6%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.7%2.3%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.5%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.4%0.7%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change2.1%6.1%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change47.644.6
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change2.6%3.5%
Employment Cost Index(no change)0.9%0.9%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change2.4%-0.3%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change2.3%3.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change2.4%3.6%
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change147K62K
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change7.48M7.192M
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.1%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change50.852.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)4.4%4.4%
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change47.247.3
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change6.7%6.5%

About Net Long-Term TIC Flows

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Department of Treasury
Category:Capital Flows
Frequency:Monthly
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